654
WTPA22 PHFO 212045
TCMCP2
HURRICANE NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032009
2100 UTC WED OCT 21 2009
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
THE HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM MARO REEF TO LISIANSKI. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 166.8W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 65NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT.......220NE 160SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 160SE 70SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 166.8W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 166.7W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.2N 167.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 55SE 50SW 55NW.
34 KT...225NE 165SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.6N 167.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 55SW 60NW.
34 KT...230NE 170SE 90SW 115NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 95SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.4N 167.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 180SE 95SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 25.5N 166.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 65SW 65NW.
34 KT...145NE 145SE 120SW 115NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 27.5N 165.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 30.4N 163.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 166.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER WROE
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