578 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 302038
 TCDEP3
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTINA DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032008
 200 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2008
  
 CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT CRISTINA HAS BEEN
 DEVOID OF DEEP CONVENTION FOR CLOSE TO 6 HOURS...AND HAS VIRTUALLY
 BECOME A SKELETAL SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS.  A 1451 QUIKSCAT OVERPASS
 REVEALED 30 KT WINDS WITHIN A THIN RAIN BAND DISPLACED WELL TO THE
 WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER.  THIS SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION HAS
 SINCE DISSIPATED.  GIVEN THE PRESENT TREND IN THE OVERALL CLOUD
 PATTERN...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KT...WHICH IS
 CONSISTENT WITH THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES.  FURTHER WEAKENING
 IS EXPECTED AND CRISTINA COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW THIS EVENING.
  
 INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 270/10.  THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST
 IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS AND IS CLOSE TO THE
 PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      30/2100Z 14.0N 132.2W    25 KT
  12HR VT     01/0600Z 13.8N 133.8W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  24HR VT     01/1800Z 13.5N 135.9W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     02/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA