806
FOPZ12 KNHC 012055
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
2100 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 192N 1187W 34 79 7(86) X(86) X(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
12 192N 1187W 50 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 192N 1187W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 192N 1190W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
24 192N 1190W 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 192N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 192N 1193W 34 20 3(23) 2(25) 1(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)
36 192N 1193W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 192N 1193W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 192N 1200W 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
48 192N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 192N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 192N 1210W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 192N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 192N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 25 20 20 20 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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