168
WTPZ23 KNHC 311434
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2009
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF BAHIA
MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA ABREOJOS AND NORTH OF SAN
EVARISTO TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 108.1W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.1N 109.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.0N 110.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.0N 111.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...105NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.0N 111.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.6N 112.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 29.0N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 30.0N 114.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 108.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
169
WTPZ24 KNHC 311434
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142009
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2009
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 121.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 60SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 121.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 121.7W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.2N 121.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.7N 121.2W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.0N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.3N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 121.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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