221 
 WTPZ45 KNHC 250240
 TCDEP5
 
 Tropical Depression Dalila Discussion Number  12
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052019
 800 PM PDT Wed Jul 24 2019
 
 Dalila is hanging on as a tropical depression.  After having
 little deep convection throughout the day, a new area of
 thunderstorms has formed during the past several hours over the
 northeastern quadrant, which is over slightly warmer water.  The
 remainder of the circulation consists of a swirl of low-level
 clouds.  The initial intensity is held at 25 kt, in agreement with
 the earlier ASCAT data and the 00Z Dvorak classification from TAFB.
 Dalila is not expected to hold on much longer as a tropical cyclone,
 as progressively cooler waters and stable air should cause the deep
 convection to dissipate soon.  The NHC intensity forecast continues
 to show gradual weakening, and ultimately dissipation in 2 to 3
 days.
 
 The center of the depression has jogged to the north, likely due to
 the development of the convection on its northeast side.  Smoothing
 through this recent jog yields a motion of 325/6.  As the
 convection dies, the weak cyclone is expected to turn to the
 west-northwest and then the west within the low-level trade wind
 flow.  The NHC track forecast is a little to the north of the
 previous one, based on the more northward initial position, and lies
 near the middle of the guidance envelope.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  25/0300Z 21.4N 119.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
  12H  25/1200Z 21.7N 120.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  26/0000Z 22.2N 121.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  26/1200Z 22.6N 123.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  27/0000Z 22.8N 124.9W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  28/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Cangialosi