517 
 WTPZ45 KNHC 242032
 TCDEP5
 
 Tropical Depression Dalila Discussion Number  11
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052019
 200 PM PDT Wed Jul 24 2019
 
 Deep convection associated with Dalila has continued to wane since
 the previous advisory, and the system has become a swirl of low- to
 mid-level clouds with a small area of colder cloud tops over the
 eastern semicircle.  A recent ASCAT overpass showed maximum winds
 of 25 kt, which is used as the initial intensity for this advisory.
 Dalila will continue to move over progressively cooler waters, and
 into a drier and more stable air mass during the next day or two.
 This should result in additional weakening, and Dalila is expected
 to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or on Thursday.
 
 Dalila is still moving northwestward or 315/6 kt.  As the cyclone
 weakens and becomes an increasingly vertically shallow system, it is
 forecast to turn west-northwestward within the low-level easterly
 flow.  The models are in good agreement on this scenario and the NHC
 forecast track is close to the various consensus aids.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  24/2100Z 20.7N 119.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
  12H  25/0600Z 21.3N 120.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  25/1800Z 21.9N 121.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  26/0600Z 22.3N 123.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  26/1800Z 22.8N 124.6W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Brown