330
FOPZ12 KNHC 010259
PWSEP2
HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 198N 1186W 34 77 6(83) 1(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
12 198N 1186W 50 44 9(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
12 198N 1186W 64 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 204N 1195W 34 15 38(53) 4(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
24 204N 1195W 50 4 18(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
24 204N 1195W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 206N 1202W 34 2 26(28) 9(37) 2(39) 1(40) 1(41) X(41)
36 206N 1202W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
36 206N 1202W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 206N 1205W 34 1 19(20) 11(31) 2(33) 2(35) 1(36) X(36)
48 206N 1205W 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 206N 1205W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 205N 1210W 34 X 10(10) 9(19) 3(22) 3(25) 1(26) X(26)
72 205N 1210W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 205N 1210W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1215W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 4(16) X(16) 1(17)
96 200N 1215W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
96 200N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 195N 1220W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11)
120 195N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
120 195N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 50 40 35 30 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/KIMBERLAIN/LANDSEA
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