131
FOPZ14 KNHC 172037
PWSEP4
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
2100 UTC THU AUG 17 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 154N 1237W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 154N 1237W 50 77 10(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
12 154N 1237W 64 39 16(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
24 162N 1257W 34 17 69(86) 6(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
24 162N 1257W 50 1 52(53) 12(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66)
24 162N 1257W 64 X 28(28) 9(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
36 170N 1277W 34 2 24(26) 42(68) 10(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80)
36 170N 1277W 50 X 5( 5) 30(35) 9(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45)
36 170N 1277W 64 X 1( 1) 16(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
48 179N 1296W 34 X 3( 3) 25(28) 24(52) 7(59) X(59) X(59)
48 179N 1296W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25)
48 179N 1296W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 195N 1325W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 17(26) 3(29) X(29)
72 195N 1325W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
72 195N 1325W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 210N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11)
96 210N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 210N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 1380W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 225N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 225N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 90 80 70 50 30 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
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