677
FONT13 KNHC 140850
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 141N 370W 34 61 9(70) X(70) X(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71)
12 141N 370W 50 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 141N 370W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 152N 396W 34 2 61(63) 9(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 152N 396W 50 X 15(15) 10(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 1(27)
24 152N 396W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
36 165N 416W 34 X 17(17) 42(59) 9(68) 5(73) X(73) X(73)
36 165N 416W 50 X 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) 2(33) 1(34) X(34)
36 165N 416W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) 1(12)
48 178N 430W 34 X 3( 3) 29(32) 23(55) 12(67) 1(68) 1(69)
48 178N 430W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 8(31) 2(33) 1(34)
48 178N 430W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14)
72 200N 455W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 30(47) 9(56) 2(58)
72 200N 455W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 6(26) 2(28)
72 200N 455W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15)
96 220N 485W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 20(37) 8(45)
96 220N 485W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 3(19)
96 220N 485W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
120 240N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 12(32)
120 240N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15)
120 240N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 50 60 70 80 85 85
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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