122 
 WTNT45 KNHC 050841
 TCDAT5
  
 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152012
 500 AM AST FRI OCT 05 2012
  
 OSCAR REMAINS A SHEARED TROPICAL CYCLONE THIS MORNING...WITH THE
 LOW-LEVEL CENTER EXPOSED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP
 CONVECTION.  THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE STRUCTURE SINCE
 THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 45 KT.
 DUE TO CONTINUED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
 EXPECTED BEFORE OSCAR IS ABSORBED BY AN ONCOMING COLD FRONT LATER
 TODAY OR TONIGHT.
  
 OSCAR IS NOW EMBEDDED IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF
 A LARGE DEEP-LAYER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
 ATLANTIC.  THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT OSCAR
 SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED BY THE COLD
 FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW...WITH THE REMNANT VORTICITY CENTER
 SUBSEQUENTLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE FRONT.  THE NEW
 FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.
  
 STRONG SOUTHERLY GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AHEAD OF
 THE COLD FRONT AFTER OSCAR DISSIPATES.  FOR ADDITIONAL FORECAST
 INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE METEO
 FRANCE MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  05/0900Z 23.0N  38.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
  12H  05/1800Z 25.5N  35.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
  24H  06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN