289
FOPZ14 KNHC 170833
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
0900 UTC THU AUG 17 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 150N 1210W 34 96 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 150N 1210W 50 60 14(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
12 150N 1210W 64 29 13(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
24 158N 1230W 34 17 65(82) 7(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
24 158N 1230W 50 1 42(43) 10(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
24 158N 1230W 64 X 19(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
36 166N 1250W 34 2 23(25) 39(64) 7(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73)
36 166N 1250W 50 X 3( 3) 24(27) 7(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
36 166N 1250W 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
48 174N 1271W 34 X 3( 3) 19(22) 23(45) 8(53) X(53) X(53)
48 174N 1271W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
48 174N 1271W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 195N 1305W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 4(26) 1(27)
72 195N 1305W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 195N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 210N 1330W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12)
96 210N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
96 210N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 230N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
120 230N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 230N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 75 70 60 50 35 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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