270
FONT13 KNHC 140250
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 137N 350W 34 71 9(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 1(81) X(81)
12 137N 350W 50 9 5(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
12 137N 350W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
24 147N 374W 34 5 63(68) 9(77) 2(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80)
24 147N 374W 50 X 21(21) 10(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) 1(34)
24 147N 374W 64 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 159N 395W 34 X 19(19) 42(61) 10(71) 4(75) X(75) 1(76)
36 159N 395W 50 X 1( 1) 26(27) 9(36) 3(39) X(39) 1(40)
36 159N 395W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
48 174N 410W 34 X 3( 3) 27(30) 27(57) 12(69) 2(71) 1(72)
48 174N 410W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 10(35) 1(36) 1(37)
48 174N 410W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) 1(17) X(17)
72 200N 435W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 33(48) 9(57) 2(59)
72 200N 435W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 6(28) 2(30)
72 200N 435W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) 1(17)
96 215N 458W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 16(42) 7(49)
96 215N 458W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) 3(23)
96 215N 458W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 2(13)
120 225N 490W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 10(31)
120 225N 490W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16)
120 225N 490W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 55 65 75 90 95 85
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA
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