024 
 WTPZ24 KNHC 060807
 TCMEP4
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142004
 0900Z WED OCT 06 2004
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 06/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   4 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.2W AT 06/0900Z
 AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 116.9W
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.2N 118.5W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.3N 120.1W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.3N 121.8W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.4N 123.8W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.5N 127.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 16.5N 131.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 16.5N 135.5W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 117.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER STEWART
  
  
 $$