380
FOPZ14 KNHC 170241
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
0300 UTC THU AUG 17 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 147N 1197W 34 93 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 147N 1197W 50 56 15(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
12 147N 1197W 64 19 9(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
24 154N 1214W 34 22 58(80) 9(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
24 154N 1214W 50 1 40(41) 12(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
24 154N 1214W 64 X 15(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
36 162N 1235W 34 2 17(19) 47(66) 10(76) 2(78) X(78) X(78)
36 162N 1235W 50 X 2( 2) 28(30) 10(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
36 162N 1235W 64 X X( X) 12(12) 5(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
48 170N 1256W 34 X 3( 3) 21(24) 27(51) 10(61) 1(62) X(62)
48 170N 1256W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26)
48 170N 1256W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
72 190N 1295W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 22(26) 5(31) X(31)
72 190N 1295W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
72 190N 1295W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 210N 1325W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 1(13)
96 210N 1325W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 210N 1325W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 225N 1345W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
120 225N 1345W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 225N 1345W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 70 75 70 55 40 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH
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