892
WTPZ22 KNHC 192039
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
2100 UTC WED SEP 19 2007
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 111.9W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 111.9W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 111.6W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.9N 114.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.9N 113.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 23.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 111.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
120
WTPZ23 KNHC 192039
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132007
2100 UTC WED SEP 19 2007
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 128.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 128.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 128.4W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.4N 129.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.3N 130.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.1N 130.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.4N 130.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.8N 128.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 128.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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