930
WTPZ43 KNHC 122030
TCDEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032007
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 12 2007
THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DETERIORATE AND THERE IS VERY LITTLE
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT OF STABLE AIR AND COOLER WATERS SO
DISSIPATION IS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN 12 HOURS OR SO. IN FACT...IF
DEEP CONVECTION DOES NOT REDEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...ADVISORIES COULD BE TERMINATED THIS EVENING.
MY TRACK FORECAST REASONING REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME. CURRENT MOTION
OF THE DEPRESSION IS AROUND 300/8. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST
IS FORECAST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH OF THE WEAKENING
CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 12/2100Z 18.5N 114.1W 25 KT
12HR VT 13/0600Z 18.9N 115.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 13/1800Z 19.0N 116.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 14/0600Z 19.0N 118.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 14/1800Z 19.0N 120.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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