544
WTPA22 PHFO 192045
TCMCP2
TROPICAL STORM NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032009
2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2009
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 159.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 159.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 159.1W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.0N 161.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 55NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.7N 163.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 55SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.2N 165.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 55NW.
34 KT...115NE 105SE 85SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.8N 167.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 55SW 65NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 115NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 19.2N 169.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.6N 172.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 159.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA
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