160 
 WTNT25 KNHC 021431
 TCMAT5
 TROPICAL STORM STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL202005
 1500Z SUN OCT 02 2005
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
 THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST
 OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO
 CAMPECHE.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  88.1W AT 02/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT.......105NE 105SE   0SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS..105NE 105SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  88.1W AT 02/1500Z
 AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  87.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N  89.3W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.8N  91.4W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.0N  93.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
 34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.7N  95.2W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.5N  97.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
 34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.0N  99.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  88.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER FRANKLIN
  
  
 $$