270 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 121438
 TCDEP3
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032007
 800 AM PDT TUE JUN 12 2007
  
 INFRARED IMAGERY AND LIGHTNING DATA INDICATE THERE IS VERY LITTLE
 DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. 
 SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A DENSE STRATOCUMULUS FIELD IN THE PATH OF
 THE CYCLONE WHICH SUGGESTS A STABLE AIR MASS.  THE SYSTEM WILL SOON
 BE MOVING OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 25 DEG C.  GIVEN THE INCREASINGLY
 HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT...WE EXPECT THE SYSTEM TO BE DISSIPATING WITHIN
 24 HOURS...OR SOONER IF THE CONVECTION DOES NOT MAKE A COMEBACK.
 
 THE MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/8 BASED ON CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE
 SATELLITE FIXES.  THERE IS ESSENTIALLY NO CHANGE IN THE TRACK
 FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS PREDICTED AS
 HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION...OR ITS
 REMNANT LOW...OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      12/1500Z 18.1N 113.6W    25 KT
  12HR VT     13/0000Z 18.6N 114.7W    25 KT
  24HR VT     13/1200Z 19.0N 116.1W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
  36HR VT     14/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     14/1200Z 19.0N 119.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH