907 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 062032
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072010
 2100 UTC FRI AUG 06 2010
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 105.0W AT 06/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 105.0W AT 06/2100Z
 AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 104.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.7N 106.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.2N 107.8W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.6N 109.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 110.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N 111.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N 112.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 19.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 105.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE