602 
 WTNT21 KNHC 282043
 TCMAT1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
 2100 UTC MON SEP 28 2015
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  70.2W AT 28/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  70.2W AT 28/2100Z
 AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  70.0W
 
 FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.7N  71.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
 FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.9N  72.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.3N  72.8W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 28.6N  73.4W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 30.0N  74.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 33.0N  74.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 38.5N  73.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  70.2W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH/HAYES