684
FOPZ14 KNHC 160834
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
0900 UTC WED AUG 16 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 134N 1183W 34 85 7(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
12 134N 1183W 50 14 13(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
12 134N 1183W 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 140N 1204W 34 9 63(72) 10(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
24 140N 1204W 50 X 26(26) 11(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
24 140N 1204W 64 X 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
36 146N 1224W 34 1 20(21) 42(63) 10(73) 3(76) X(76) X(76)
36 146N 1224W 50 X 2( 2) 21(23) 10(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
36 146N 1224W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
48 155N 1240W 34 X 3( 3) 26(29) 25(54) 10(64) 1(65) X(65)
48 155N 1240W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 7(27) X(27) X(27)
48 155N 1240W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
72 175N 1275W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 25(30) 8(38) X(38)
72 175N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11)
72 175N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 195N 1305W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16)
96 195N 1305W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
96 195N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 210N 1340W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 210N 1340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 210N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 60 65 70 60 45 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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