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 839 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 220830
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022009
 0900 UTC MON JUN 22 2009
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
 NORTHWARD TO MANZANILLO MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
 TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
 AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
 MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 102.1W AT 22/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   3 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 102.1W AT 22/0900Z
 AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.6N 102.6W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 103.3W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.6N 104.1W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N 105.6W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.0N 108.5W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.5N 112.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 21.5N 117.0W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 102.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH
  
  
 
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