840 
 WTPA25 PHFO 191442
 TCMCP5
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP052015
 1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
 PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM FRENCH
 FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF TO LISIANSKI ISLAND.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
 PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND
 TO PEARL AND HERMES.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
   FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF TO LISIANSKI ISLAND.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
   LISIANSKI ISLAND TO PEARL AND HERMES.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MARINE
 MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FIVE-C.
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 173.3W AT 19/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 173.3W AT 19/1500Z
 AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 173.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.5N 173.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.1N 172.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.9N 172.1W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 26.5N 171.8W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...150NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.2N 172.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...150NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 37.5N 174.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 173.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
  
 $$
 
 FORECASTER BIRCHARD