964
FOPZ12 KNHC 300844
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 170N 1154W 34 44 11(55) 3(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60) 1(61)
12 170N 1154W 50 5 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 170N 1154W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 176N 1164W 34 3 33(36) 11(47) 5(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54)
24 176N 1164W 50 X 8( 8) 6(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
24 176N 1164W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 182N 1176W 34 X 9( 9) 30(39) 12(51) 4(55) X(55) 1(56)
36 182N 1176W 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
36 182N 1176W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 187N 1188W 34 X 2( 2) 18(20) 22(42) 10(52) X(52) 1(53)
48 187N 1188W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20)
48 187N 1188W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 195N 1210W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 18(32) 6(38) 1(39)
72 195N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12)
72 195N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 200N 1235W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 7(19) 2(21)
96 200N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
96 200N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 200N 1260W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
120 200N 1260W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 200N 1260W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 65 55 45 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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