700 
 WTNT21 KNHC 270850
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL262005
 0900Z THU OCT 27 2005
  
 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A
 HURRICANE WATCH IN ADDITION TO THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALREADY IN
 EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN COAST
 OF NICARAGUA FROM THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO CABO
 GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT
 ISLANDS.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
 HOURS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  81.8W AT 27/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  81.8W AT 27/0900Z
 AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  81.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 11.8N  82.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N  82.6W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.8N  83.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.0N  83.6W...ON COAST OF NICARAGUA
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.0N  85.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N  81.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER KNABB
  
  
 $$