| % Chance |
Num. of Times Observed |
Num. of Times this % Forecasted |
Forecaster's % |
| 0 |
237 |
4138 |
6 |
| 5 |
36 |
170 |
21 |
| 10 |
96 |
539 |
18 |
| 15 |
14 |
54 |
26 |
| 20 |
58 |
306 |
19 |
| 25 |
83 |
283 |
29 |
| 30 |
34 |
115 |
30 |
| 35 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 40 |
56 |
179 |
31 |
| 45 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 50 |
189 |
391 |
48 |
| 55 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 60 |
140 |
280 |
50 |
| 65 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 70 |
18 |
26 |
69 |
| 75 |
292 |
456 |
64 |
| 80 |
39 |
48 |
81 |
| 85 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 90 |
355 |
448 |
79 |
| 95 |
2 |
6 |
33 |
| 100 |
50 |
60 |
83 |
|
|
Observed |
Not Observed |
| Forecasted |
50 (H) |
10 (F) |
| Not Forecasted |
237 (M) |
3901 (Z) |
|
| Skill Stats |
| Proportion of Perfect FCSTS (PPF) | 0.94 |
| Probability of Detection (POD) | 0.17 |
| False Alarm Rate (FAR) | 000 |
| Frequency Bias Index (FBI) | 0.21 |
|
| PPF = (H+Z)/(H+F+M+Z) | | FAR = F/(F+Z) |
| FBI = (H+F)/(H+M) | | POD = H/(H+M) |
|
|
